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EUR Europe Friendlies · Trận đấu ·

Mainz vs Paris FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng48%
Hòa24%
Đội khách thắng28%
Market-based forecastChủ nhà thắngTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng48% selection probability
Projected score2–1MainzParis FC
Expected goals3.27Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài63% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
48% / 24% / 28%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.9%)Cơ hội kép1276.1%1.31
Tài 63% · Xỉu 37%Goals 2.5Tài63%1.59
Có 65% · Không 35%Cả hai đội ghi bàn65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
8.1 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKhông có
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mainz win48%2.081.8548.7%
Hòa24%4.173.7524%
Paris FC win28%3.573.3027.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mainz1.86

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals3.27Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 63% · Xỉu 37%

Paris FC1.41

Khách share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 65% · Không 35%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Mainz

1.67pts / match
Số trận3Wins1Drawn2Losses0Điểm5

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 3/3

Khách-context · form sequence

Paris FC

2.00pts / match
Số trận2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Điểm4

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Thắng probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.86
Expected goals
1.41
MainzParis FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mainz signalChủ nhà unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paris FC signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mainz vs Paris FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mainz thắng 48%,Hòa 24%,Paris FC thắng 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Tài 2.5 63% · Current selection Tài