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AUS Australien - Victoria Premier League 2 · Round 23 ·

Malvern City vs Eastern Lions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.29 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger61%
Oavgjort21%
Bortaseger18%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Malvern CityEastern Lions
Expected goals3.29Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över64% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
61% / 21% / 18%MatchresultatHemmaseger61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Eastern Lions win (18.1%)Dubbelchans1X81.9%1.22
Över 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Över64%1.56
Ja 52% · Nej 48%Båda lagen gör målJa52%1.92
3.29 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapMalvern City winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malvern City win61%1.641.5059.8%+1.2 pp
Oavgjort21%4.764.2021.3%-0.3 pp
Eastern Lions win18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malvern City2.45

Hemma share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals3.29Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 64% · Under 36%

Eastern Lions0.84

Borta share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nej 48%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Malvern City

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Eastern Lions

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
18%
9
Points from supplied form
6
2.45
Expected goals
0.84
Malvern CityEastern Lions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malvern City signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Eastern Lions signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Malvern City vs Eastern Lions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malvern City vunnen 61%,Oavgjort 21%,Eastern Lions vunnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · Över 2.5 64% · Current selection Över