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AUS Australie - Victoria Premier League 2 · Round 23 ·

Malvern City vs Eastern Lions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.29 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile61%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur18%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Malvern CityEastern Lions
Expected goals3.29Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de64% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
61% / 21% / 18%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Eastern Lions win (18.1%)Double chance1X81.9%1.22
Plus de 64% · Moins de 36%Goals 2.5Plus de64%1.56
Oui 52% · Non 48%Les deux équipes marquentOui52%1.92
3.29 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapMalvern City winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malvern City win61%1.641.5059.8%+1.2 pp
Nul21%4.764.2021.3%-0.3 pp
Eastern Lions win18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malvern City2.45

Domicile share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals3.29Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 64% · Moins de 36%

Eastern Lions0.84

Extérieur share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 52% · Non 48%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Malvern City

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Eastern Lions

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Gagné probability excluding draw
18%
9
Points from supplied form
6
2.45
Expected goals
0.84
Malvern CityEastern Lions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malvern City signalDomicile won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Eastern Lions signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Malvern City vs Eastern Lions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malvern City victoire 61%,Nul 21%,Eastern Lions victoire 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · Plus de 2.5 64% · Current selection Plus de