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AUS 澳大利亞維多利亞超級聯賽2 · Round 23 ·

馬爾文城 vs 東方獅子

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–13.29 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝61%
21%
客勝18%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝61% selection probability
Projected score2–1馬爾文城東方獅子
Expected goals3.29初盤 match profile
Goals 2.564% for the selected side
雙方進球52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
61% / 21% / 18%比賽結果主勝61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 東方獅子 win (18.1%)雙勝彩1X81.9%1.22
大 64% · 小 36%Goals 2.564%1.56
是 52% · 否 48%雙方進球52%1.92
3.29 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.6 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gap馬爾文城 winDifference+1.2 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
馬爾文城 win61%1.641.5059.8%+1.2 pp
21%4.764.2021.3%-0.3 pp
東方獅子 win18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

馬爾文城2.45

主隊 share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals3.29初盤

Dedicated goals model: 64% · 36%

東方獅子0.84

客隊 share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 52% · 48%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

馬爾文城

1.80pts / match
5Wins3Drawn0Losses2積分9

Signal主隊 won 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

東方獅子

1.20pts / match
5Wins1Drawn3Losses1積分6

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
贏 probability excluding draw
18%
9
Points from supplied form
6
2.45
Expected goals
0.84
馬爾文城東方獅子
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01馬爾文城 signal主隊 won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02東方獅子 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

馬爾文城 vs 東方獅子 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

馬爾文城 61%, 21%,東方獅子 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · 大2.5 64% · Current selection