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EST Estland - Meistriliiga · Match ·

FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.82 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger66%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger12%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger66% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Flora TallinnFC Kuressaare
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
66% / 22% / 12%MatchresultatHemmaseger66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Kuressaare win (11.7%)Dubbelchans1X88.3%1.13
Över 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Över54%1.85
Ja 36% · Nej 64%Båda lagen gör målNej64%1.56
2.82 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
11.5 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
FC Flora Tallinn win66%1.52
Oavgjort22%4.55
FC Kuressaare win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Flora Tallinn2.31

Hemma share of expected goals 81.9%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 54% · Under 46%

FC Kuressaare0.51

Borta share of expected goals 18.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 36% · Nej 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FC Flora Tallinn

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FC Kuressaare

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
12%
7
Points from supplied form
4
2.31
Expected goals
0.51
FC Flora TallinnFC Kuressaare
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Flora Tallinn signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Kuressaare signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Flora Tallinn vunnen 66%,Oavgjort 22%,FC Kuressaare vunnen 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Över 2.5 54% · Current selection Över