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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
EST Estland - Meistriliiga · Wedstrijd ·

FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.82 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst66%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst12%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst66% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Flora TallinnFC Kuressaare
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
66% / 22% / 12%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Kuressaare win (11.7%)Dubbele Kans1X88.3%1.13
Boven 54% · Onder 46%Goals 2.5Boven54%1.85
Ja 36% · Nee 64%Beide teams scorenNee64%1.56
2.82 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
11.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
FC Flora Tallinn win66%1.52
Gelijkspel22%4.55
FC Kuressaare win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Flora Tallinn2.31

Thuis share of expected goals 81.9%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 54% · Onder 46%

FC Kuressaare0.51

Uit share of expected goals 18.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 36% · Nee 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Flora Tallinn

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FC Kuressaare

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
12%
7
Points from supplied form
4
2.31
Expected goals
0.51
FC Flora TallinnFC Kuressaare
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Flora Tallinn signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Kuressaare signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Flora Tallinn gewonnen 66%,Gelijkspel 22%,FC Kuressaare gewonnen 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Boven 2.5 54% · Current selection Boven