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FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.82 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier66%
Uavgjort22%
Borteseier12%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier66% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Flora TallinnFC Kuressaare
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
66% / 22% / 12%KampresultatHjemmeseier66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Kuressaare win (11.7%)Dobbel sjanse1X88.3%1.13
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Ja 36% · Nei 64%Begge lag scorerNei64%1.56
2.82 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
11.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
FC Flora Tallinn win66%1.52
Uavgjort22%4.55
FC Kuressaare win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Flora Tallinn2.31

Hjemme share of expected goals 81.9%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

FC Kuressaare0.51

Borte share of expected goals 18.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 36% · Nei 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Flora Tallinn

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

FC Kuressaare

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
12%
7
Points from supplied form
4
2.31
Expected goals
0.51
FC Flora TallinnFC Kuressaare
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Flora Tallinn signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Kuressaare signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

FC Flora Tallinn vs FC Kuressaare FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Flora Tallinn vunnet 66%,Uavgjort 22%,FC Kuressaare vunnet 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over