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Tallinna FC Flora vs FC Kuressaare

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.82 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit66%
Viik22%
Võõrsilvõit12%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit66% selection probability
Projected score2–1Tallinna FC FloraFC Kuressaare
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle54% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
66% / 22% / 12%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Kuressaare win (11.7%)Topeltvõimalus1X88.3%1.13
Üle 54% · Alla 46%Goals 2.5Üle54%1.85
Jah 36% · Ei 64%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi64%1.56
2.82 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
11.5 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Tallinna FC Flora win66%1.52
Viik22%4.55
FC Kuressaare win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tallinna FC Flora2.31

Kodu share of expected goals 81.9%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 54% · Alla 46%

FC Kuressaare0.51

Võõras share of expected goals 18.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 36% · Ei 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Tallinna FC Flora

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

FC Kuressaare

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Võit probability excluding draw
12%
7
Points from supplied form
4
2.31
Expected goals
0.51
Tallinna FC FloraFC Kuressaare
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tallinna FC Flora signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Kuressaare signalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Tallinna FC Flora vs FC Kuressaare FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tallinna FC Flora võit 66%,Viik 22%,FC Kuressaare võit 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Üle 2.5 54% · Current selection Üle