MatchFormula Hitta en match
Menu
UTC+8
TidszonAsia/Shanghai
Svenska
SWE Sweden Superettan · Match ·

IFK Norrköping vs IK Brage

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger63%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger14%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger63% selection probability
Projected score2–1IFK NorrköpingIK Brage
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över55% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
63% / 23% / 14%MatchresultatHemmaseger63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IK Brage win (14.3%)Dubbelchans1X85.7%1.17
Över 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Över55%1.82
Ja 42% · Nej 58%Båda lagen gör målNej58%1.72
2.90 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
IFK Norrköping win63%1.59
Oavgjort23%4.35
IK Brage win14%7.14

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Norrköping2.27

Hemma share of expected goals 78.3%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 55% · Under 45%

IK Brage0.63

Borta share of expected goals 21.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nej 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

IFK Norrköping

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

IK Brage

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
2.27
Expected goals
0.63
IFK NorrköpingIK Brage
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Norrköping signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IK Brage signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

IFK Norrköping vs IK Brage FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Norrköping vunnen 63%,Oavgjort 23%,IK Brage vunnen 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Över 2.5 55% · Current selection Över