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SWE Szwecja - Superettan · Mecz ·

IFK Norrkoping vs IK Brage

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy63%
Remis23%
Wygrana gości14%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy63% selection probability
Projected score2–1IFK NorrkopingIK Brage
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej55% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
63% / 23% / 14%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IK Brage win (14.3%)Podwójna szansa1X85.7%1.17
Powyżej 55% · Poniżej 45%Goals 2.5Powyżej55%1.82
Tak 42% · Nie 58%Obie drużyny strzeląNie58%1.72
2.90 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.0 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
IFK Norrkoping win63%1.59
Remis23%4.35
IK Brage win14%7.14

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Norrkoping2.27

Gospodarze share of expected goals 78.3%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 55% · Poniżej 45%

IK Brage0.63

Goście share of expected goals 21.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 42% · Nie 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

IFK Norrkoping

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

IK Brage

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
2.27
Expected goals
0.63
IFK NorrkopingIK Brage
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Norrkoping signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IK Brage signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

IFK Norrkoping vs IK Brage FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Norrkoping wygrana 63%,Remis 23%,IK Brage wygrana 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Powyżej 2.5 55% · Current selection Powyżej