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SWE Svédország - Superettan · Mérkőzés ·

IFK Norrkoping vs IK Brage

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem62%
Döntetlen23%
Vendég győzelem14%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem62% selection probability
Projected score2–1IFK NorrkopingIK Brage
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett55% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
62% / 23% / 14%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IK Brage win (14.3%)Dupla esély1X85.7%1.17
Felett 55% · Alatt 45%Goals 2.5Felett55%1.82
Igen 42% · Nem 58%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem58%1.72
2.90 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
10.0 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
IFK Norrkoping win62%1.61
Döntetlen23%4.35
IK Brage win14%7.14

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Norrkoping2.27

Hazai share of expected goals 78.3%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 55% · Alatt 45%

IK Brage0.63

Vendég share of expected goals 21.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 42% · Nem 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

IFK Norrkoping

2.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontok12

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

IK Brage

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Nyert probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
2.27
Expected goals
0.63
IFK NorrkopingIK Brage
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Norrkoping signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IK Brage signalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

IFK Norrkoping vs IK Brage FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Norrkoping nyer 62%,Döntetlen 23%,IK Brage nyer 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · 2.5 felett 55% · Current selection Felett