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SWE Sweden Superettan · Partido ·

IFK Norrkoping vs IK Brage

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local62%
Empate23%
Victoria visitante14%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local62% selection probability
Projected score2–1IFK NorrkopingIK Brage
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
62% / 23% / 14%Resultado del partidoVictoria local62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IK Brage win (14.3%)Doble Oportunidad1X85.7%1.17
Más de 55% · Menos de 45%Goals 2.5Más de55%1.82
Sí 42% · No 58%Ambos equipos marcanNo58%1.72
2.90 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
IFK Norrkoping win62%1.61
Empate23%4.35
IK Brage win14%7.14

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Norrkoping2.27

Local share of expected goals 78.3%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 55% · Menos de 45%

IK Brage0.63

Visitante share of expected goals 21.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 42% · No 58%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

IFK Norrkoping

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

IK Brage

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Ganado probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
2.27
Expected goals
0.63
IFK NorrkopingIK Brage
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Norrkoping signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IK Brage signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

IFK Norrkoping vs IK Brage FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Norrkoping ganada 62%,Empate 23%,IK Brage ganada 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Más de 2.5 55% · Current selection Más de