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INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Match ·

USC Paredes vs Guimaraes B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.92 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger50%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger22%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger50% selection probability
Projected score1–1USC ParedesGuimaraes B
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under70% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
50% / 28% / 22%MatchresultatHemmaseger50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guimaraes B win (22%)Dubbelchans1X78%1.28
Över 30% · Under 70%Goals 2.5Under70%1.43
Ja 38% · Nej 62%Båda lagen gör målNej62%1.61
1.92 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapUSC Paredes winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
USC Paredes win50%2.001.7551.4%-1.4 pp
Oavgjort28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp
Guimaraes B win22%4.554.2021.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

USC Paredes1.05

Hemma share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 30% · Under 70%

Guimaraes B0.87

Borta share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nej 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

USC Paredes

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Guimaraes B

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
22%
8
Points from supplied form
3
1.05
Expected goals
0.87
USC ParedesGuimaraes B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01USC Paredes signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guimaraes B signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

USC Paredes vs Guimaraes B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

USC Paredes vunnen 50%,Oavgjort 28%,Guimaraes B vunnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · Över 2.5 30% · Current selection Under