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INT Portugalsko - Liga 3 · Zápas ·

USC Paredes vs Guimaraes B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–11.92 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích50%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostů22%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích50% selection probability
Projected score1–1USC ParedesGuimaraes B
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně70% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
50% / 28% / 22%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guimaraes B win (22%)Dvojitá šance1X78%1.28
Více 30% · Méně 70%Goals 2.5Méně70%1.43
Ano 38% · Ne 62%Oba týmy skórujíNe62%1.61
1.92 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.3 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapUSC Paredes winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
USC Paredes win50%2.001.7551.4%-1.4 pp
Remíza28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp
Guimaraes B win22%4.554.2021.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

USC Paredes1.05

Domácí share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 30% · Méně 70%

Guimaraes B0.87

Hosté share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 38% · Ne 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

USC Paredes

1.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Guimaraes B

0.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Body3

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Výhra probability excluding draw
22%
8
Points from supplied form
3
1.05
Expected goals
0.87
USC ParedesGuimaraes B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01USC Paredes signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guimaraes B signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

USC Paredes vs Guimaraes B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

USC Paredes výhra 50%,Remíza 28%,Guimaraes B výhra 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · Více 2.5 30% · Current selection Méně