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NLD Nederländerna - Eredivisie · Match ·

Heerenveen vs FC Twente

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.90 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger32%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger42%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger42% selection probability
Projected score1–1HeerenveenFC Twente
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över55% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
32% / 25% / 42%MatchresultatBortaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Dubbelchans1274.7%1.34
Över 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Över55%1.82
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Båda lagen gör målJa59%1.69
2.90 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.3 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.1%Largest probability gapFC Twente winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Heerenveen win32%3.133.0032%0.0 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.8025.3%-0.3 pp
FC Twente win42%2.382.2542.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Heerenveen1.45

Hemma share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 55% · Under 45%

FC Twente1.45

Borta share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Heerenveen

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FC Twente

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
42%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.45
Expected goals
1.45
HeerenveenFC Twente
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Heerenveen signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Twente signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Heerenveen vs FC Twente FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Heerenveen vunnen 32%,Oavgjort 25%,FC Twente vunnen 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Över 2.5 55% · Current selection Över