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NLD Nederlandene - Eredivisie · Kamp ·

Heerenveen vs FC Twente

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.89 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr32%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr42%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr42% selection probability
Projected score1–1HeerenveenFC Twente
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
32% / 25% / 42%KampresultatUdesejr42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Dobbeltchance1274.7%1.34
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Begge hold scorerJa59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.1%Largest probability gapFC Twente winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Heerenveen win32%3.133.0032%0.0 pp
Uafgjort25%4.003.8025.3%-0.3 pp
FC Twente win42%2.382.2542.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Heerenveen1.44

Hjemme share of expected goals 49.8%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

FC Twente1.45

Ude share of expected goals 50.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Heerenveen

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

FC Twente

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Vundet probability excluding draw
42%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.44
Expected goals
1.45
HeerenveenFC Twente
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Heerenveen signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Twente signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Heerenveen vs FC Twente FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Heerenveen vundet 32%,Uafgjort 25%,FC Twente vundet 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over