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FIN Fínsko - Kolmonen · Zápas ·

LePa vs MPS

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–13.18 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich60%
Remíza20%
Výhra hostí19%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich60% selection probability
Projected score2–1LePaMPS
Expected goals3.18Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac62% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
60% / 20% / 19%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MPS win (19.2%)Dvojitá šanca1X80.8%1.24
Viac 62% · Menej 38%Goals 2.5Viac62%1.61
Áno 54% · Nie 46%Oba tímy skórujúÁno54%1.85
3.18 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.6 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.9%Largest probability gapMPS winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LePa win60%1.671.4859.9%+0.1 pp
Remíza20%5.004.3320.5%-0.5 pp
MPS win19%5.264.5019.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LePa2.25

Domáci share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals3.18Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 62% · Menej 38%

MPS0.93

Hostia share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 54% · Nie 46%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

LePa

3.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Body15

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

MPS

0.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Body1

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Výhra probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
1
2.25
Expected goals
0.93
LePaMPS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LePa signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MPS signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

LePa vs MPS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LePa výhra 60%,Remíza 20%,MPS výhra 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Viac 2.5 62% · Current selection Viac