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FIN Финландия - Колмонен · Мач ·

Ле Па vs МПС

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.18 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина60%
Равен20%
Победа за госта19%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ле ПаМПС
Expected goals3.18Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над62% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
60% / 20% / 19%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes МПС win (19.2%)Двоен шанс1X80.8%1.24
Над 62% · Под 38%Goals 2.5Над62%1.61
Да 54% · Не 46%И двата отбора да отбележатДа54%1.85
3.18 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.9%Largest probability gapМПС winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ле Па win60%1.671.4859.9%+0.1 pp
Равен20%5.004.3320.5%-0.5 pp
МПС win19%5.264.5019.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ле Па2.25

Домакин share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals3.18Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 62% · Под 38%

МПС0.93

Гост share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Не 46%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Ле Па

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

МПС

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
1
2.25
Expected goals
0.93
Ле ПаМПС
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ле Па signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02МПС signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Ле Па vs МПС FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ле Па печеливш 60%,Равен 20%,МПС печеливш 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Над 2.5 62% · Current selection Над