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UTC+8
IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
Magyar
FIN Finnország - Kolmonen · Mérkőzés ·

LePa vs MPS

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–13.18 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem60%
Döntetlen20%
Vendég győzelem19%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem60% selection probability
Projected score2–1LePaMPS
Expected goals3.18Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett62% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
60% / 20% / 19%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MPS win (19.2%)Dupla esély1X80.8%1.24
Felett 62% · Alatt 38%Goals 2.5Felett62%1.61
Igen 54% · Nem 46%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen54%1.85
3.18 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
9.6 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.9%Largest probability gapMPS winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LePa win60%1.671.4859.9%+0.1 pp
Döntetlen20%5.004.3320.5%-0.5 pp
MPS win19%5.264.5019.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LePa2.25

Hazai share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals3.18Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 62% · Alatt 38%

MPS0.93

Vendég share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 54% · Nem 46%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

LePa

3.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontok15

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

MPS

0.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Pontok1

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Nyert probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
1
2.25
Expected goals
0.93
LePaMPS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LePa signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MPS signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

LePa vs MPS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LePa nyer 60%,Döntetlen 20%,MPS nyer 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · 2.5 felett 62% · Current selection Felett