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FIN Финляндия - Колмонен · Матч ·

ЛеПа vs МПС

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.18 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев60%
Ничья20%
Победа гостей19%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев60% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЛеПаМПС
Expected goals3.18Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
60% / 20% / 19%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes МПС win (19.2%)Двойной шанс1X80.8%1.24
Больше 62% · Меньше 38%Goals 2.5Больше62%1.61
Да 54% · Нет 46%Обе забьютДа54%1.85
3.18 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.9%Largest probability gapМПС winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ЛеПа win60%1.671.4859.9%+0.1 pp
Ничья20%5.004.3320.5%-0.5 pp
МПС win19%5.264.5019.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ЛеПа2.25

Хозяева share of expected goals 70.8%

Total expected goals3.18Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 62% · Меньше 38%

МПС0.93

Гости share of expected goals 29.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Нет 46%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ЛеПа

3.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Баллы15

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

МПС

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
1
2.25
Expected goals
0.93
ЛеПаМПС
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ЛеПа signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02МПС signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

ЛеПа vs МПС FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ЛеПа выигрыш 60%,Ничья 20%,МПС выигрыш 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · ТБ 2.5 62% · Current selection Больше