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INT Турция - 1-я лига · Матч ·

Есенлер Ерокспор vs 76 Игдир Беледиеспор

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев54%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей20%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Есенлер Ерокспор76 Игдир Беледиеспор
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
54% / 26% / 20%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 76 Игдир Беледиеспор win (19.9%)Двойной шанс1X80.1%1.25
Больше 53% · Меньше 47%Goals 2.5Больше53%1.89
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.79 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapЕсенлер Ерокспор winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Есенлер Ерокспор win54%1.851.7052.8%+1.2 pp
Ничья26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
76 Игдир Беледиеспор win20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Есенлер Ерокспор2.05

Хозяева share of expected goals 73.5%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 53% · Меньше 47%

76 Игдир Беледиеспор0.74

Гости share of expected goals 26.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Есенлер Ерокспор

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Баллы4

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

76 Игдир Беледиеспор

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
4
2.05
Expected goals
0.74
Есенлер Ерокспор76 Игдир Беледиеспор
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Есенлер Ерокспор signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

0276 Игдир Беледиеспор signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Есенлер Ерокспор vs 76 Игдир Беледиеспор FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Есенлер Ерокспор выигрыш 54%,Ничья 26%,76 Игдир Беледиеспор выигрыш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · ТБ 2.5 53% · Current selection Больше