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INT Türgi 1. liiga · Mäng ·

Esenler Erokspor vs 76 Igdir Belediyespor

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit54%
Viik26%
Võõrsilvõit20%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Esenler Erokspor76 Igdir Belediyespor
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle53% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
54% / 26% / 20%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 76 Igdir Belediyespor win (19.9%)Topeltvõimalus1X80.1%1.25
Üle 53% · Alla 47%Goals 2.5Üle53%1.89
Jah 46% · Ei 54%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi54%1.85
2.79 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.0 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapEsenler Erokspor winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Esenler Erokspor win54%1.851.7052.8%+1.2 pp
Viik26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
76 Igdir Belediyespor win20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Esenler Erokspor2.05

Kodu share of expected goals 73.5%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 53% · Alla 47%

76 Igdir Belediyespor0.74

Võõras share of expected goals 26.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 46% · Ei 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Esenler Erokspor

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punktid4

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

76 Igdir Belediyespor

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Võit probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
4
2.05
Expected goals
0.74
Esenler Erokspor76 Igdir Belediyespor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Esenler Erokspor signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

0276 Igdir Belediyespor signalKodu matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Esenler Erokspor vs 76 Igdir Belediyespor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Esenler Erokspor võit 54%,Viik 26%,76 Igdir Belediyespor võit 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Üle 2.5 53% · Current selection Üle