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INT Türkiye 1 Lig · Maç ·

Esenler Erokspor vs 76 Igdir Belediyespor

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır54%
Beraberlik26%
Deplasman kazanır20%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Esenler Erokspor76 Igdir Belediyespor
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst53% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
54% / 26% / 20%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 76 Igdir Belediyespor win (19.9%)Çifte Şans1X80.1%1.25
Üst 53% · Alt 47%Goals 2.5Üst53%1.89
Evet 46% · Hayır 54%Karşılıklı gol varHayır54%1.85
2.79 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.0 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapEsenler Erokspor winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Esenler Erokspor win54%1.851.7052.8%+1.2 pp
Beraberlik26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
76 Igdir Belediyespor win20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Esenler Erokspor2.05

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 73.5%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 53% · Alt 47%

76 Igdir Belediyespor0.74

Deplasman share of expected goals 26.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 46% · Hayır 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Esenler Erokspor

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

76 Igdir Belediyespor

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
4
2.05
Expected goals
0.74
Esenler Erokspor76 Igdir Belediyespor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Esenler Erokspor signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

0276 Igdir Belediyespor signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Esenler Erokspor vs 76 Igdir Belediyespor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Esenler Erokspor kazanç 54%,Beraberlik 26%,76 Igdir Belediyespor kazanç 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · 2.5 Üst 53% · Current selection Üst