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INT Turcia - 1 Lig · Meci ·

Esenler Erokspor vs 76 Igdir Belediyespor

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde54%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți20%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Esenler Erokspor76 Igdir Belediyespor
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste53% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
54% / 26% / 20%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 76 Igdir Belediyespor win (19.9%)Șansă dublă1X80.1%1.25
Peste 53% · Sub 47%Goals 2.5Peste53%1.89
Da 46% · Nu 54%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54%1.85
2.79 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapEsenler Erokspor winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Esenler Erokspor win54%1.851.7052.8%+1.2 pp
Egal26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
76 Igdir Belediyespor win20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Esenler Erokspor2.05

Gazde share of expected goals 73.5%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 53% · Sub 47%

76 Igdir Belediyespor0.74

Oaspeți share of expected goals 26.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 46% · Nu 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Esenler Erokspor

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puncte4

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

76 Igdir Belediyespor

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Câștig probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
4
2.05
Expected goals
0.74
Esenler Erokspor76 Igdir Belediyespor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Esenler Erokspor signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

0276 Igdir Belediyespor signalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Esenler Erokspor vs 76 Igdir Belediyespor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Esenler Erokspor câștig 54%,Egal 26%,76 Igdir Belediyespor câștig 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Peste 2.5 53% · Current selection Peste