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MEX Мексика - Лига де Экспансион · Матч ·

Универсидад де Гвадалахара vs Piratas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.65 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев32%
Ничья35%
Победа гостей33%
Full model forecastНичьяTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callНичья35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Универсидад де ГвадалахараPiratas
Expected goals1.65Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше77% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
32% / 35% / 33%Исход матчаНичья35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Универсидад де Гвадалахара win (31.8%)Двойной шансX268.2%1.47
Больше 23% · Меньше 77%Goals 2.5Меньше77%1.30
Да 32% · Нет 68%Обе забьютНет68%1.47
1.65 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Универсидад де Гвадалахара win32%3.13
Ничья35%2.86
Piratas win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Универсидад де Гвадалахара0.81

Хозяева share of expected goals 49.1%

Total expected goals1.65Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 23% · Меньше 77%

Piratas0.84

Гости share of expected goals 50.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 32% · Нет 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Универсидад де Гвадалахара

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Piratas

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
33%
12
Points from supplied form
7
0.81
Expected goals
0.84
Универсидад де ГвадалахараPiratas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Универсидад де Гвадалахара signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Piratas signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Универсидад де Гвадалахара vs Piratas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ничья · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Универсидад де Гвадалахара выигрыш 32%,Ничья 35%,Piratas выигрыш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.65 · ТБ 2.5 23% · Current selection Меньше