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HRV Хорватия - Национальная лига · Матч ·

ХНК Гориция vs ХФК Риека

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев16%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей58%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей58% selection probability
Projected score1–1ХНК ГорицияХФК Риека
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше66% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
16% / 25% / 58%Исход матчаПобеда гостей58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ХНК Гориция win (16.3%)Двойной шансX283.7%1.19
Больше 34% · Меньше 66%Goals 2.5Меньше66%1.52
Да 41% · Нет 59%Обе забьютНет59%1.69
2.07 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapХФК Риека winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ХНК Гориция win16%6.255.7515.6%+0.4 pp
Ничья25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
ХФК Риека win58%1.721.5059.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ХНК Гориция0.86

Хозяева share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 34% · Меньше 66%

ХФК Риека1.21

Гости share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Нет 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ХНК Гориция

0.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Баллы0

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ХФК Риека

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
58%
0
Points from supplied form
7
0.86
Expected goals
1.21
ХНК ГорицияХФК Риека
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ХНК Гориция signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ХФК Риека signalГости matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

ХНК Гориция vs ХФК Риека FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ХНК Гориция выигрыш 16%,Ничья 25%,ХФК Риека выигрыш 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · ТБ 2.5 34% · Current selection Меньше