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HRV Κροατία - HNL · Αγώνας ·

HNK Γκόριτσα vs Ριέκα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου16%
Ισοπαλία25%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου58%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου58% selection probability
Projected score1–1HNK ΓκόριτσαΡιέκα
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω66% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
16% / 25% / 58%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNK Γκόριτσα win (16.3%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX283.7%1.19
Άνω 34% · Κάτω 66%Goals 2.5Κάτω66%1.52
Ναι 41% · Όχι 59%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι59%1.69
2.07 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapΡιέκα winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
HNK Γκόριτσα win16%6.255.7515.6%+0.4 pp
Ισοπαλία25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Ριέκα win58%1.721.5059.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HNK Γκόριτσα0.86

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 34% · Κάτω 66%

Ριέκα1.21

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 41% · Όχι 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

HNK Γκόριτσα

0.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Πόντοι0

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Ριέκα

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
58%
0
Points from supplied form
7
0.86
Expected goals
1.21
HNK ΓκόριτσαΡιέκα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HNK Γκόριτσα signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ριέκα signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

HNK Γκόριτσα vs Ριέκα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HNK Γκόριτσα νίκη 16%,Ισοπαλία 25%,Ριέκα νίκη 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · Άνω 2.5 34% · Current selection Κάτω