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KAZ Казахстан - Премьер-лига · Round 25 ·

Кайрат Алма-Ата vs ФК Женис

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.81 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев68%
Ничья19%
Победа гостей13%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев68% selection probability
Projected score2–1Кайрат Алма-АтаФК Женис
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
68% / 19% / 13%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Женис win (12.9%)Двойной шанс1X87.1%1.15
Больше 53% · Меньше 47%Goals 2.5Больше53%1.89
Да 37% · Нет 63%Обе забьютНет63%1.59
2.81 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.8%Largest probability gapКайрат Алма-Ата winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Кайрат Алма-Ата win68%1.471.3366.7%+1.3 pp
Ничья19%5.264.5019.7%-0.7 pp
ФК Женис win13%7.696.5013.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Кайрат Алма-Ата2.29

Хозяева share of expected goals 81.5%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 53% · Меньше 47%

ФК Женис0.52

Гости share of expected goals 18.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 37% · Нет 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Кайрат Алма-Ата

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Женис

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
13%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.29
Expected goals
0.52
Кайрат Алма-АтаФК Женис
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Кайрат Алма-Ата signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Женис signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Кайрат Алма-Ата vs ФК Женис FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Кайрат Алма-Ата выигрыш 68%,Ничья 19%,ФК Женис выигрыш 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · ТБ 2.5 53% · Current selection Больше