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KAZ Kazachstan - Premier League · Round 25 ·

Kairat Almaty vs FK Zhenys

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.81 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst68%
Gelijkspel19%
Uitwinst13%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst68% selection probability
Projected score2–1Kairat AlmatyFK Zhenys
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
68% / 19% / 13%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Zhenys win (12.9%)Dubbele Kans1X87.1%1.15
Boven 53% · Onder 47%Goals 2.5Boven53%1.89
Ja 37% · Nee 63%Beide teams scorenNee63%1.59
2.81 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.8%Largest probability gapKairat Almaty winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kairat Almaty win68%1.471.3366.7%+1.3 pp
Gelijkspel19%5.264.5019.7%-0.7 pp
FK Zhenys win13%7.696.5013.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kairat Almaty2.29

Thuis share of expected goals 81.5%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 53% · Onder 47%

FK Zhenys0.52

Uit share of expected goals 18.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nee 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Kairat Almaty

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FK Zhenys

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
13%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.29
Expected goals
0.52
Kairat AlmatyFK Zhenys
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kairat Almaty signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Zhenys signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Kairat Almaty vs FK Zhenys FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kairat Almaty gewonnen 68%,Gelijkspel 19%,FK Zhenys gewonnen 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Boven 2.5 53% · Current selection Boven