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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

Кайрат Алмати vs ФК Женис

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.81 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина68%
Равен19%
Победа за госта13%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина68% selection probability
Projected score2–1Кайрат АлматиФК Женис
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над53% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
68% / 19% / 13%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Женис win (12.9%)Двоен шанс1X87.1%1.15
Над 53% · Под 47%Goals 2.5Над53%1.89
Да 37% · Не 63%И двата отбора да отбележатНе63%1.59
2.81 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.8%Largest probability gapКайрат Алмати winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Кайрат Алмати win68%1.471.3366.7%+1.3 pp
Равен19%5.264.5019.7%-0.7 pp
ФК Женис win13%7.696.5013.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Кайрат Алмати2.29

Домакин share of expected goals 81.5%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 53% · Под 47%

ФК Женис0.52

Гост share of expected goals 18.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 37% · Не 63%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Кайрат Алмати

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ФК Женис

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
13%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.29
Expected goals
0.52
Кайрат АлматиФК Женис
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Кайрат Алмати signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Женис signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Кайрат Алмати vs ФК Женис FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Кайрат Алмати печеливш 68%,Равен 19%,ФК Женис печеливш 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Над 2.5 53% · Current selection Над