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ESP Испания - Кубок Федерации · Матч ·

Толидо vs КД Гуадалахара С.А.Д.

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.60 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев31%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей41%
Market-based forecastПобеда гостейTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей41% selection probability
Projected score1–1ТолидоКД Гуадалахара С.А.Д.
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
31% / 28% / 41%Исход матчаПобеда гостей41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Двойной шанс1272.5%1.38
Больше 48% · Меньше 52%Goals 2.5Меньше52%1.92
Да 53% · Нет 47%Обе забьютДа53%1.89
2.60 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Толидо win31%3.233.0029.8%
Ничья28%3.573.2527.5%
КД Гуадалахара С.А.Д. win41%2.442.1042.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Толидо1.27

Хозяева share of expected goals 48.8%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 48% · Меньше 52%

КД Гуадалахара С.А.Д.1.33

Гости share of expected goals 51.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Нет 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Толидо

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

КД Гуадалахара С.А.Д.

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
41%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.27
Expected goals
1.33
ТолидоКД Гуадалахара С.А.Д.
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Толидо signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02КД Гуадалахара С.А.Д. signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Толидо vs КД Гуадалахара С.А.Д. FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Толидо выигрыш 31%,Ничья 28%,КД Гуадалахара С.А.Д. выигрыш 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · ТБ 2.5 48% · Current selection Меньше