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ESP Spanien - Copa Federacion · Match ·

Toledo vs CD Guadalajara S.A.D.

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.60 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger31%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger41%
Market-based forecastBortasegerTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger41% selection probability
Projected score1–1ToledoCD Guadalajara S.A.D.
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
31% / 28% / 41%MatchresultatBortaseger41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Dubbelchans1272.5%1.38
Över 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.60 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Toledo win31%3.233.0029.8%
Oavgjort28%3.573.2527.5%
CD Guadalajara S.A.D. win41%2.442.1042.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Toledo1.27

Hemma share of expected goals 48.8%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 48% · Under 52%

CD Guadalajara S.A.D.1.33

Borta share of expected goals 51.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Toledo

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

CD Guadalajara S.A.D.

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
41%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.27
Expected goals
1.33
ToledoCD Guadalajara S.A.D.
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Toledo signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Guadalajara S.A.D. signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Toledo vs CD Guadalajara S.A.D. FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Toledo vunnen 31%,Oavgjort 28%,CD Guadalajara S.A.D. vunnen 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Över 2.5 48% · Current selection Under