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ESP Spagna - Copa Federacion · Partita ·

Toledo vs CD Guadalajara S.A.D.

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.60 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa31%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite41%
Market-based forecastVittoria ospiteTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite41% selection probability
Projected score1–1ToledoCD Guadalajara S.A.D.
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto52% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
31% / 28% / 41%Esito partitaVittoria ospite41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Doppia Chance1272.5%1.38
Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%Goals 2.5Sotto52%1.92
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
2.60 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Toledo win31%3.233.0029.8%
Pareggio28%3.573.2527.5%
CD Guadalajara S.A.D. win41%2.442.1042.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Toledo1.27

Casa share of expected goals 48.8%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%

CD Guadalajara S.A.D.1.33

Trasferta share of expected goals 51.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Toledo

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

CD Guadalajara S.A.D.

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vinta probability excluding draw
41%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.27
Expected goals
1.33
ToledoCD Guadalajara S.A.D.
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Toledo signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Guadalajara S.A.D. signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Toledo vs CD Guadalajara S.A.D. FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Toledo vinta 31%,Pareggio 28%,CD Guadalajara S.A.D. vinta 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Sopra 2.5 48% · Current selection Sotto