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NLD Нидерланды - Эрстедивизи · Final ·

Де Графсхап vs АЗ - Резерв

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score2–5Прогноз 3–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев54%
Ничья21%
Победа гостей24%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 54% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев54% selection probability
Projected score3–1Де ГрафсхапАЗ - Резерв
Expected goals4.03Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше77% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
54% / 21% / 24%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Двойной шанс1278.7%1.27
Больше 77% · Меньше 23%Goals 2.5Больше77%1.30
Да 70% · Нет 30%Обе забьютДа70%1.43
4.03 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–1
10.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapАЗ - Резерв winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Де Графсхап win54%1.851.7553.5%+0.5 pp
Ничья21%4.764.3321.6%-0.6 pp
АЗ - Резерв win24%4.173.7524.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Де Графсхап2.62

Хозяева share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals4.03Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 77% · Меньше 23%

АЗ - Резерв1.41

Гости share of expected goals 35%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 70% · Нет 30%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Де Графсхап

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

АЗ - Резерв

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
12
2.62
Expected goals
1.41
Де ГрафсхапАЗ - Резерв
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Де Графсхап signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02АЗ - Резерв signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Де Графсхап vs АЗ - Резерв FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Де Графсхап выигрыш 54%,Ничья 21%,АЗ - Резерв выигрыш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · ТБ 2.5 77% · Current selection Больше