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NLD Países Bajos - Eerste Divisie · Final ·

De Graafschap vs AZ - B

Prediction review

Local form
Final score2–5Pronóstico 3–1
Visitante form
Victoria local54%
Empate21%
Victoria visitante24%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 54% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local54% selection probability
Projected score3–1De GraafschapAZ - B
Expected goals4.03Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de77% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
54% / 21% / 24%Resultado del partidoVictoria local54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Doble Oportunidad1278.7%1.27
Más de 77% · Menos de 23%Goals 2.5Más de77%1.30
Sí 70% · No 30%Ambos equipos marcan70%1.43
4.03 total expected goalsMarcador exacto3–1
10.8 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapAZ - B winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
De Graafschap win54%1.851.7553.5%+0.5 pp
Empate21%4.764.3321.6%-0.6 pp
AZ - B win24%4.173.7524.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

De Graafschap2.62

Local share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals4.03Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 77% · Menos de 23%

AZ - B1.41

Visitante share of expected goals 35%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 70% · No 30%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

De Graafschap

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

AZ - B

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Ganado probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
12
2.62
Expected goals
1.41
De GraafschapAZ - B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01De Graafschap signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AZ - B signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

De Graafschap vs AZ - B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 3–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

De Graafschap ganada 54%,Empate 21%,AZ - B ganada 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Más de 2.5 77% · Current selection Más de