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NLD Holandia - Eerste Divisie · Final ·

De Graafschap vs AZ - Rezerwa

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score2–5Prognoza 3–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy54%
Remis21%
Wygrana gości24%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 54% selection probability
Prediction Nietrafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy54% selection probability
Projected score3–1De GraafschapAZ - Rezerwa
Expected goals4.03Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej77% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
54% / 21% / 24%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Podwójna szansa1278.7%1.27
Powyżej 77% · Poniżej 23%Goals 2.5Powyżej77%1.30
Tak 70% · Nie 30%Obie drużyny strzeląTak70%1.43
4.03 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–1
10.8 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapAZ - Rezerwa winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
De Graafschap win54%1.851.7553.5%+0.5 pp
Remis21%4.764.3321.6%-0.6 pp
AZ - Rezerwa win24%4.173.7524.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

De Graafschap2.62

Gospodarze share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals4.03Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 77% · Poniżej 23%

AZ - Rezerwa1.41

Goście share of expected goals 35%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitTak 70% · Nie 30%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

De Graafschap

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

AZ - Rezerwa

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
12
2.62
Expected goals
1.41
De GraafschapAZ - Rezerwa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01De Graafschap signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AZ - Rezerwa signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

De Graafschap vs AZ - Rezerwa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

De Graafschap wygrana 54%,Remis 21%,AZ - Rezerwa wygrana 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Powyżej 2.5 77% · Current selection Powyżej