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NLD Ολλανδία - Eerste Divisie · Final ·

De Graafschap vs Άλκμααρ Β’

Prediction review

Γηπεδούχος form
Final score2–5Πρόβλεψη 3–1
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου54%
Ισοπαλία21%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου24%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 54% selection probability
Prediction Αποτυχία
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου54% selection probability
Projected score3–1De GraafschapΆλκμααρ Β’
Expected goals4.03Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω77% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
54% / 21% / 24%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1278.7%1.27
Άνω 77% · Κάτω 23%Goals 2.5Άνω77%1.30
Ναι 70% · Όχι 30%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι70%1.43
4.03 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ3–1
10.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapΆλκμααρ Β’ winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
De Graafschap win54%1.851.7553.5%+0.5 pp
Ισοπαλία21%4.764.3321.6%-0.6 pp
Άλκμααρ Β’ win24%4.173.7524.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

De Graafschap2.62

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals4.03Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 77% · Κάτω 23%

Άλκμααρ Β’1.41

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 35%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitΝαι 70% · Όχι 30%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

De Graafschap

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Άλκμααρ Β’

2.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Πόντοι12

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
12
2.62
Expected goals
1.41
De GraafschapΆλκμααρ Β’
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01De Graafschap signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Άλκμααρ Β’ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

De Graafschap vs Άλκμααρ Β’ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 3–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

De Graafschap νίκη 54%,Ισοπαλία 21%,Άλκμααρ Β’ νίκη 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Άνω 2.5 77% · Current selection Άνω