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POL Польша - Экстракласса · Round 1 ·

Корона Кельце vs Легия Варшава

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.98 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев36%
Ничья32%
Победа гостей32%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Корона КельцеЛегия Варшава
Expected goals1.98Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше68% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
36% / 32% / 32%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Легия Варшава win (32.1%)Двойной шанс1X67.9%1.47
Больше 32% · Меньше 68%Goals 2.5Меньше68%1.47
Да 40% · Нет 60%Обе забьютНет60%1.67
1.98 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Корона Кельце win36%2.78
Ничья32%3.13
Легия Варшава win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Корона Кельце1.04

Хозяева share of expected goals 52.5%

Total expected goals1.98Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 32% · Меньше 68%

Легия Варшава0.94

Гости share of expected goals 47.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Нет 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Корона Кельце

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Легия Варшава

3.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Баллы15

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
15
1.04
Expected goals
0.94
Корона КельцеЛегия Варшава
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Корона Кельце signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Легия Варшава signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Корона Кельце vs Легия Варшава FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Корона Кельце выигрыш 36%,Ничья 32%,Легия Варшава выигрыш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.98 · ТБ 2.5 32% · Current selection Меньше