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DEU Германия - Бундеслига II · Round 1 ·

ФК Карлсруэ vs Арминия Билефельд

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–23.49 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев36%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей38%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей38% selection probability
Projected score2–2ФК КарлсруэАрминия Билефельд
Expected goals3.49Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше68% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
36% / 26% / 38%Исход матчаПобеда гостей38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Двойной шанс1273.7%1.36
Больше 68% · Меньше 32%Goals 2.5Больше68%1.47
Да 68% · Нет 32%Обе забьютДа68%1.47
3.49 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapФК Карлсруэ winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Карлсруэ win36%2.782.6335.4%+0.6 pp
Ничья26%3.853.5026.6%-0.6 pp
Арминия Билефельд win38%2.632.4538%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Карлсруэ1.82

Хозяева share of expected goals 52.1%

Total expected goals3.49Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 68% · Меньше 32%

Арминия Билефельд1.67

Гости share of expected goals 47.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 68% · Нет 32%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Карлсруэ

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Арминия Билефельд

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.82
Expected goals
1.67
ФК КарлсруэАрминия Билефельд
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Карлсруэ signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Арминия Билефельд signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ФК Карлсруэ vs Арминия Билефельд FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Карлсруэ выигрыш 36%,Ничья 26%,Арминия Билефельд выигрыш 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.49 · ТБ 2.5 68% · Current selection Больше