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DEU Германия - Бундеслига II · Round 1 ·

Карлсруе vs Арминия Билефелд

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–23.49 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина36%
Равен26%
Победа за госта38%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта38% selection probability
Projected score2–2КарлсруеАрминия Билефелд
Expected goals3.49Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над68% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
36% / 26% / 38%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Двоен шанс1273.7%1.36
Над 68% · Под 32%Goals 2.5Над68%1.47
Да 68% · Не 32%И двата отбора да отбележатДа68%1.47
3.49 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–2
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapКарлсруе winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Карлсруе win36%2.782.6335.4%+0.6 pp
Равен26%3.853.5026.6%-0.6 pp
Арминия Билефелд win38%2.632.4538%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Карлсруе1.82

Домакин share of expected goals 52.1%

Total expected goals3.49Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 68% · Под 32%

Арминия Билефелд1.67

Гост share of expected goals 47.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 68% · Не 32%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Карлсруе

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Арминия Билефелд

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.82
Expected goals
1.67
КарлсруеАрминия Билефелд
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Карлсруе signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Арминия Билефелд signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Карлсруе vs Арминия Билефелд FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Карлсруе печеливш 36%,Равен 26%,Арминия Билефелд печеливш 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.49 · Над 2.5 68% · Current selection Над