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DEU Germany Bundesliga II · Round 1 ·

Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–23.49 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng36%
Hòa26%
Đội khách thắng38%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng38% selection probability
Projected score2–2Karlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld
Expected goals3.49Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài68% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
36% / 26% / 38%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Cơ hội kép1273.7%1.36
Tài 68% · Xỉu 32%Goals 2.5Tài68%1.47
Có 68% · Không 32%Cả hai đội ghi bàn68%1.47
3.49 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–2
9.5 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapKarlsruher SC winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Karlsruher SC win36%2.782.6335.4%+0.6 pp
Hòa26%3.853.5026.6%-0.6 pp
Arminia Bielefeld win38%2.632.4538%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Karlsruher SC1.82

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 52.1%

Total expected goals3.49Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 68% · Xỉu 32%

Arminia Bielefeld1.67

Khách share of expected goals 47.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 68% · Không 32%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Karlsruher SC

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Điểm4

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Arminia Bielefeld

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalKhách unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Thắng probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.82
Expected goals
1.67
Karlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Karlsruher SC signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arminia Bielefeld signalKhách unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Karlsruher SC thắng 36%,Hòa 26%,Arminia Bielefeld thắng 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.49 · Tài 2.5 68% · Current selection Tài