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Български
DEU Германия - Бундеслига II · Round 1 ·

Дармщад vs Холщайн Кил

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина43%
Равен27%
Победа за госта30%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина43% selection probability
Projected score2–1ДармщадХолщайн Кил
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
43% / 27% / 30%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Двоен шанс1273.3%1.36
Над 54% · Под 46%Goals 2.5Над54%1.85
Да 55% · Не 45%И двата отбора да отбележатДа55%1.82
2.83 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.4 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapХолщайн Кил winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Дармщад win43%2.332.2042.8%+0.2 pp
Равен27%3.703.5026.9%+0.1 pp
Холщайн Кил win30%3.333.1030.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Дармщад1.73

Домакин share of expected goals 61.1%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 54% · Под 46%

Холщайн Кил1.10

Гост share of expected goals 38.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 55% · Не 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Дармщад

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Холщайн Кил

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.73
Expected goals
1.10
ДармщадХолщайн Кил
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Дармщад signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Холщайн Кил signalГост matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Дармщад vs Холщайн Кил FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Дармщад печеливш 43%,Равен 27%,Холщайн Кил печеливш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Над 2.5 54% · Current selection Над