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INT Северная Македония - Первая лига · Матч ·

Вардар Скопье vs Шкендия Тетово

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.43 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев59%
Ничья23%
Победа гостей18%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Вардар СкопьеШкендия Тетово
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
59% / 23% / 18%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Шкендия Тетово win (18%)Двойной шанс1X82%1.22
Больше 44% · Меньше 56%Goals 2.5Меньше56%1.79
Да 45% · Нет 55%Обе забьютНет55%1.82
2.43 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.8 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapВардар Скопье winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Вардар Скопье win59%1.691.5059.7%-0.7 pp
Ничья23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Шкендия Тетово win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Вардар Скопье1.61

Хозяева share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 44% · Меньше 56%

Шкендия Тетово0.82

Гости share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Нет 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Вардар Скопье

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Шкендия Тетово

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
18%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.61
Expected goals
0.82
Вардар СкопьеШкендия Тетово
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Вардар Скопье signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Шкендия Тетово signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Вардар Скопье vs Шкендия Тетово FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Вардар Скопье выигрыш 59%,Ничья 23%,Шкендия Тетово выигрыш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · ТБ 2.5 44% · Current selection Меньше