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INT Noord-Macedonië - Eerste divisie · Wedstrijd ·

Vardar Skopje vs Shkendija Tetovo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.43 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst59%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst18%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Vardar SkopjeShkendija Tetovo
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
59% / 23% / 18%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shkendija Tetovo win (18%)Dubbele Kans1X82%1.22
Boven 44% · Onder 56%Goals 2.5Onder56%1.79
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.43 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapVardar Skopje winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vardar Skopje win59%1.691.5059.7%-0.7 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Shkendija Tetovo win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vardar Skopje1.61

Thuis share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 44% · Onder 56%

Shkendija Tetovo0.82

Uit share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Vardar Skopje

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Shkendija Tetovo

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
18%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.61
Expected goals
0.82
Vardar SkopjeShkendija Tetovo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vardar Skopje signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shkendija Tetovo signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Vardar Skopje vs Shkendija Tetovo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vardar Skopje gewonnen 59%,Gelijkspel 23%,Shkendija Tetovo gewonnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Boven 2.5 44% · Current selection Onder