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INT Nordmakedonien - First League · Match ·

Vardar Skopje vs Shkendija Tetovo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.43 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger59%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger18%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Vardar SkopjeShkendija Tetovo
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
59% / 23% / 18%MatchresultatHemmaseger59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shkendija Tetovo win (18%)Dubbelchans1X82%1.22
Över 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Båda lagen gör målNej55%1.82
2.43 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.8 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapVardar Skopje winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vardar Skopje win59%1.691.5059.7%-0.7 pp
Oavgjort23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Shkendija Tetovo win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vardar Skopje1.61

Hemma share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 44% · Under 56%

Shkendija Tetovo0.82

Borta share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Vardar Skopje

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Shkendija Tetovo

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
18%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.61
Expected goals
0.82
Vardar SkopjeShkendija Tetovo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vardar Skopje signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shkendija Tetovo signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Vardar Skopje vs Shkendija Tetovo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vardar Skopje vunnen 59%,Oavgjort 23%,Shkendija Tetovo vunnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Över 2.5 44% · Current selection Under