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POL Польша - Лига III · Final ·

Полония Срода-Великополска vs Виктория Вжесня

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–0Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев64%
Ничья20%
Победа гостей16%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 64% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Полония Срода-ВеликополскаВиктория Вжесня
Expected goals3.12Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
64% / 20% / 16%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Виктория Вжесня win (15.8%)Двойной шанс1X84.2%1.19
Больше 60% · Меньше 40%Goals 2.5Больше60%1.67
Да 50% · Нет 50%Обе забьютНет50%2.00
3.12 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.3 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapПолония Срода-Великополска winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Полония Срода-Великополска win64%1.561.4263%+1.0 pp
Ничья20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp
Виктория Вжесня win16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Полония Срода-Великополска2.33

Хозяева share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.12Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 60% · Меньше 40%

Виктория Вжесня0.79

Гости share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Нет 50%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Полония Срода-Великополска

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Виктория Вжесня

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
16%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.33
Expected goals
0.79
Полония Срода-ВеликополскаВиктория Вжесня
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Полония Срода-Великополска signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Виктория Вжесня signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Полония Срода-Великополска vs Виктория Вжесня FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Полония Срода-Великополска выигрыш 64%,Ничья 20%,Виктория Вжесня выигрыш 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · ТБ 2.5 60% · Current selection Больше