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POL Lengyelország - III Liga · Final ·

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score1–0Előrejelzés 2–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem64%
Döntetlen20%
Vendég győzelem16%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 64% selection probability
Prediction Nyert
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia Sroda WlkpVictoria Wrzesnia
Expected goals3.12Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett60% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
64% / 20% / 16%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Victoria Wrzesnia win (15.8%)Dupla esély1X84.2%1.19
Felett 60% · Alatt 40%Goals 2.5Felett60%1.67
Igen 50% · Nem 50%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem50%2.00
3.12 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
10.3 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapPolonia Sroda Wlkp winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Sroda Wlkp win64%1.561.4263%+1.0 pp
Döntetlen20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp
Victoria Wrzesnia win16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Sroda Wlkp2.33

Hazai share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.12Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 60% · Alatt 40%

Victoria Wrzesnia0.79

Vendég share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 50% · Nem 50%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Polonia Sroda Wlkp

2.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontok12

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Victoria Wrzesnia

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontok3

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Nyert probability excluding draw
16%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.33
Expected goals
0.79
Polonia Sroda WlkpVictoria Wrzesnia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Sroda Wlkp signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Victoria Wrzesnia signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Sroda Wlkp nyer 64%,Döntetlen 20%,Victoria Wrzesnia nyer 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · 2.5 felett 60% · Current selection Felett