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POL Polonia - Liga III · Partita ·

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.12 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa64%
Pareggio20%
Vittoria ospite16%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia Sroda WlkpVictoria Wrzesnia
Expected goals3.12Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra60% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
64% / 20% / 16%Esito partitaVittoria casa64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Victoria Wrzesnia win (15.8%)Doppia Chance1X84.2%1.19
Sopra 60% · Sotto 40%Goals 2.5Sopra60%1.67
Sì 50% · No 50%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo50%2.00
3.12 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapPolonia Sroda Wlkp winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Sroda Wlkp win64%1.561.4263%+1.0 pp
Pareggio20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp
Victoria Wrzesnia win16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Sroda Wlkp2.33

Casa share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.12Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 60% · Sotto 40%

Victoria Wrzesnia0.79

Trasferta share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Polonia Sroda Wlkp

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Victoria Wrzesnia

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Vinta probability excluding draw
16%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.33
Expected goals
0.79
Polonia Sroda WlkpVictoria Wrzesnia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Sroda Wlkp signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Victoria Wrzesnia signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vinta 64%,Pareggio 20%,Victoria Wrzesnia vinta 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Sopra 2.5 60% · Current selection Sopra