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POL Pologne - III Liga · Final ·

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–0Pronostic 2–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile64%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur16%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 64% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia Sroda WlkpVictoria Wrzesnia
Expected goals3.12Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
64% / 20% / 16%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Victoria Wrzesnia win (15.8%)Double chance1X84.2%1.19
Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%Goals 2.5Plus de60%1.67
Oui 50% · Non 50%Les deux équipes marquentNon50%2.00
3.12 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapPolonia Sroda Wlkp winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Sroda Wlkp win64%1.561.4263%+1.0 pp
Nul20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp
Victoria Wrzesnia win16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Sroda Wlkp2.33

Domicile share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.12Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%

Victoria Wrzesnia0.79

Extérieur share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 50% · Non 50%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Polonia Sroda Wlkp

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Victoria Wrzesnia

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Gagné probability excluding draw
16%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.33
Expected goals
0.79
Polonia Sroda WlkpVictoria Wrzesnia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Sroda Wlkp signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Victoria Wrzesnia signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Sroda Wlkp victoire 64%,Nul 20%,Victoria Wrzesnia victoire 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Plus de 2.5 60% · Current selection Plus de