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MWI Малави - Суперлига · Матч ·

Ред Лайонс vs Камузу Барракс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев52%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ред ЛайонсКамузу Барракс
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
52% / 27% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Камузу Барракс win (20.7%)Двойной шанс1X79.3%1.26
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 47% · Нет 53%Обе забьютНет53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Ред Лайонс win52%1.92
Ничья27%3.70
Камузу Барракс win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ред Лайонс1.83

Хозяева share of expected goals 69.3%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

Камузу Барракс0.81

Гости share of expected goals 30.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Нет 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Ред Лайонс

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Камузу Барракс

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.83
Expected goals
0.81
Ред ЛайонсКамузу Барракс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ред Лайонс signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Камузу Барракс signalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ред Лайонс vs Камузу Барракс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ред Лайонс выигрыш 52%,Ничья 27%,Камузу Барракс выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше